It's all speculation, because granted the rapist never fought anybody as good as Canelo. However, I suspect the scumbag would have KO'd the Ginger. Tony was just far more naturally talented, and even in fighting a similar level of opposition, Tony looked more impressive in blowing away lower level fighters than Canelo did. Ayala within 6.
I don't see what makes Canelo appreciably superior to the best guys Ayala fought other than his fighting in a terrible era and still being matched extremely carefully before being embarassed