Seems like this could turn out to be one of the best fights ever. I think Provo would end up assuming the role of aggressor, which leaves Madaina somewhat out in the cold...not doing what he does best. Seems like Provo could eventually Ko madaina. Madaina ' s only chance I think would be body-punching.
I'd favor Provo but agree going to the body is Maidana's best bet... Ultimately, I think Provo wins on account of having the better chin