Oh man, I dunno. My first instinct is that Leonard might just be able to outwork him and squeeze the rounds out, but Gavilan knew how to make a guy think 3 times about leading. At even odds I'd go for Leonard, but I'd bet pennies.
fucking brilliant fight, a can't lose fight for a boxing fan... I could see it either way, like Hut said... Probably favor Leonard's ability to win over the judges. Judges liked him, rightly or wrongly, a lot of the time.