Fight Breakdown: Diaz v Diaz

I can be long-winded and over analytical when I write boxing. It's something I've tried to work out of over the years, but I'm tainted from trying to stretch out the countless 4,000 word essays on victorian literature.::

 

I can't believe anybody is picking Julio.

This is a mismatch...and nice work brother Tam

 

You sure about that?

Julio's straight right/left (esp. right) is significantly straighter than anything Juan throws.

Juan very much likes to loop his shots (beyond the jab, which is improving).

I think Julio will get there often right down the middle....I just think Juan is simply faster and because of his workrate and smothering Julio will get there more.

Peace.

 

dsimon writes:

I am going on Julio's last fight primarily. i did see him fight prior to but he was off of my radar.

 

There's no doubt that Juan's punches are less straight. Juan is a winger.

But he is better than Julio, and as someone else mentioned, his best performances have come against his best opponents. Which is, of course, a good sign.

 

yes. but Juan has never faced anyone as good as Castillo, and nobody as tough as El Pollo either. As far as Manfredy, Julio fought stupid in that fight, so I don't think it means that much in considering how he fares.

 

too bad castillo can't make 135 anymore - i'd like to see him decapitate Juan with a left hook.

 

diaz would beat him at 140

 

Now I understand why you're rooting for Julio in this one. You believe that a win for Julio will somehow enhance Castillo's legacy....

 

I think I already posted that Juan was eating LOTS of short straight inside punches from Montano in sparring.. I suspect he'll tighten up his defense for the first few rounds of the fight before increasing the pressure..

 

Lavka Sim is just as tough as El Pollo, if not more so. So are Lorenzo and Cotto.

Peace.

 

I don't think Castillo can even make 140 anymore.

I hope Diaz stays at 135 for an eventual matchup with PAC. That would be interesting.

 

dsimon writes;

Try Derrida some time.::

 

Juan gets hit because he likes to fight, really loves a punchout which is what he lives for in boxing.
Punching him is like punching a cherry wood table, he may not look hard but he really is.
Julio is a good fighter and a nice guy whom I respect a lot as a fighter and a man and will get his share of shots in early and may stun his younger foe, but he's not beating Juan.