Boxing Betting-Tips Thread.

A few years ago, we had Alvarado vs Rios, their first fight.

I don't know who it was - possibly Neil- came on here the day of the fight and said that they had heard that Alvarado had been arrested or some shit and did a night in County Jail [possibly drink driving] and this had happened either the weekend or the week of the fight.

So Rios was basically 3-1 to get a stoppage and by the end of the round the websites had him at 4/7 or something.

If you had that sort of information and it was reliable, you could have made a few quid.

The other week, I was was following this HW no-hoper, a guy called Fabio Wardley, and he was fighting former Wilder/Joshua victim Eric Molina.

Molina was 30-1 to get a stoppage and came within one clean blow of it. Molina was rocking him and Wardley was basically blowing out both his holes, totally exhausted and getting bashed back to the ropes when Molina did the honourable thing and took a soft shot and lay down.

So remember that name: Fabio Wardley. Might be worth a bet halfway in a fight when he's started to look a bit tired and the bookies have forgotten his last effort.

But the best by far was this:-

Stephen Adentan, former Joshua sparring partner, turned pro and got fucking ICED by some Lithuanian bricklayer



If I had known this was on I would have backed the bricklayer as Joshua employs bums he can beat up.

I reckon he too was good odds to win......

Anyone else known or seen anything?

 

Fabio "Breathless" Wardley. One to watch. He's a future bust. Get in on the action while it's still good.

 

Fabio Fraudley is a sure way to lose money.

 

And just like that, the moniker "Fraudley" has returned.

I will watch him, next half-live chap they put him in with I will back him to get El Sparko.

Only think you can't sort of negotiate is the Noddy Hearn/Fake Warren fix being in.

 

My advice for people wanting to bet on boxing, is don't be tempted by easy odds. There's no point putting a tenner on somet that seems decent if you can't see it happening. Betting on boxing shouldn't be seen a luck thing, but a test of how much you know.

Also, a lot of the time, the bookies don't know shit.

 

I agree 100%. Down the years I felt Hopkins 3/1 vs Tito, Rahman 3/1 vs Lewis and Tszyu 3/1 vs Judah were just way way too wide. You just see these things, you hang around here, reading fight reports, watching the tapes, studying Elly Sickbag videos and you get the feeling.

It's about having the GUTS to put that bet on. To follow through on your predo.

One I was so so sore I missed was BJS vs David Lemieux.

I knew that Saunders would clown him for a bit but suspected that Lemoo would get to him in the end, or get a home town decision.

The other- which I really should have known- was Chunky vs Eubank.

I knew Chunky was shot to shit but Eubank could mess up a cup of coffee so I let that slide too.

Agreed on the rest. Most of the time 1/100 is 1/100 for a reason. Any clam, like the guy who put $72,000 on Tyson to beat Douglas, is just asking for the bookies to take their money.

 

I was the only person I met at the time which picked Groves to beat Eubank Jr. (lots of hype around him then) and I made about 20 quid off it - which was big, because I was about 13 and lived in a caravan.

You just get feelings, and don't do out. My dad said he had a bad feeling about Warrington-Lara and I talked him out of betting on him. Don't I feel like a dick.

 

Feebles used to make money on it. I think he had Wlad W12 Haye.

 

My wife won a bunch betting on Pacquiao to beat ODH.

 

There are chances out there.

 

What's funny is she is not even a boxing fan. And has never bet on a fight since and never did before. And she knows very little about boxing. But for some reason, in this particular matchup, she was convinced Pacquiao would win and then when she found out the odds, she decides to bet.

 

Did she act like uncle Roger afterward and say "most people don't know shit about boxing."

 

She obviously knew that the best fighters come from the Mid-West. The Mid-West of the Phillipines.

 

double L enjoying himself watching some fights and his wife walks into the room: "Sweety, did you want me me to sit down and explain what's happening"?

 

I've often had my old man sit in on a fight and tell all and sundry what was going down. Guys would be stuck to the canvas and he'd be raging about "the fix being in".

 

Yeah some people seem to think the corruption in boxing is so rampant and wide spread every single fight outcome anywhere and everywhere is pre-determined.

 

One thing is, she used to like JMM until he started drinking his own piss.

 

So you no longer used the same recipe for your famous salad dressing?

 

A guy in University-today himself a Barrister- once told me that "Boxing is fixed".

That was it.

"Boxing is fixed".

 

Another guy I missed the boat on. A bet in-fight in the 4th Pac vs JMM fight would have paid off handsomely.





I've known flights that weren't as 'jacked as him that night.

 

If they said "boxing is corrupt" they'd be reasonably accurate but that's almost never what they mean when they say fixed.

 

"Boxing is fixed".

"Butterbean, he's a boxer".

"He wears America shorts".

That was it. Entire dissertation on the matter.

He probably saw Butterbean fighting wrestlers, saw the America shorts, knew America was corrupt and that fights are supposed to be for 12 rounds ...........and concluded "Yep. Fat white guy beating everyone. America. Fixed".

 

Ok guys how do you see this Jake Paul vs Ben Askren thing going?

I think Paul is going to knock him into the middle of next year.

 

Once upon a time, I bet quite a lot on boxing. That was when I made it my business to watch every possible fight I could watch and, as a result, I felt confident spotting fighters who were mispriced.

Bookies aren't great at pricing up boxing, beyond the really obvious fights. There is money to be made if you have the time and inclination to make it. But it takes a lot of time, and nowadays, I find it a lot easier to make money betting on darts.

MTF

 

Are you betting on darts or using darts to choose investment funds tacked to a wall to like financial advisors do?

 

On a side note, there was some crazy story about some Brit who was friends with a WWE writer, who told him the planned results of WWE Summerslam 2017, and so said Brit put like a $3.60 10-match parlay on either Ladbrokes or Paddy Power and won over $45K:

https://www.ewrestlingnews.com/news...ping-wwe-one-person-made-big-money-summerslam

 

Story kind of falls apart when you see..........$3.60.

I don't think that's how Biff Bannen made his money, putting tiny bets on shit

Of course he probably didn't want it to be obvious.

Haye vs Harrisson was one of them...............his whole crew knew it was round 3.

 

My friend and his brother had won about one hundred euros from somewhere. This friend of mine then suggested that they'd bet all of it for Holyfield- Ruiz III to end in a draw. This brother thought it was a retarded idea and they passed.

 

Is it too late to get that wager in?

 

It was a bad idea. Draws are vanishingly rare events in boxing- except when we don't need them- and the odds they offer are disgustingly narrow. 25-1 is the standard.

John is holding on right now!!