From the footage I've seen, Ortiz was a higher level, and should take a clear decision in a great fight.
Agreed. Ortiz was a beast, and in the footage we have of him, he isn't too dissimilar to Duran on the inside. Especially with the uppercut. Medel isn't without chance though. It's a literally PERFECT style match-up for him, and Ortiz could be pretty lazy in non-title fights. I think Medel can hurt him, work him over and give him some really good rounds, but ultimately can't put him away and gets out-worked.