Barring an early Tarver KO, I have to go with Saad - come-from-behind late round stoppage sounds about right. Not knockout, though - Tarver probably takes about 20 or so unanswered punches along the ropes before the fight is stopped.
Bernard Fernandez line on ROCKY BALBOA about Balboa vs. Dixon in their primes fits perfectly here..IMO...something about a shoval..