Trinidad. Martinez's defense is too leaky, eventually he's gonna get caught with too many straight right hands, with his whole "leap amateur" style, and Tito will probably get the left hook in there too. Tito stops him in the mid-to-late rounds, or maybe Sergio is able to last the distance and lose a comprehensive decision.
Can't see anyway that Martinez wins. As everyone else has said, too hittable. And his chin wasn't exactly rock solid. Tito KO 9
Agree with consensus. Might have some similarities to Trinidad-Reid, but Martinez probably gets knocked out in the late rounds.
Martinez was a better overall fighter than Reid but head to head I think Reid had the reflexes and skills to make a stinky fight where his right hand is the most effective weapon. He might even stop Martinez.
I would take David Reid to beat Paul Williams also. Tall Paul would be wide open for those right hands.